Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 1-1 RB Leipzig (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
59%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+6.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.3pp
59%
Away Win
66%
-7.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.36/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.93/0.58
-62% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +97%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 83%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
11.0 Crosses 15.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
13.10.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 2-0 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Carl Zeiss Jena (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
1-1
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
0.94 xG 1.35
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
152 Passes 460
62% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena (K) and RB Leipzig (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had RB Leipzig (K) at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carl Zeiss Jena (K) had 31% of the ball to RB Leipzig (K)'s 69%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.94 to 1.35.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 1-1 RB Leipzig (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 21%, draw 21%, RB Leipzig (K) 59%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RB Leipzig (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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