Metz 2-1 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 9 Nov 2025

Metz
2 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Nice
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Metz vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.1
Over
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.54
No
41%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.02
2-3
47%
1.85
4-5
25%
3.02
6+
6%
9.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.38
1/2
3%
24.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
11%
6.73
X/2
14%
5.43
X/X
17%
5.2
2/1
3%
29.0
2/2
23%
3.13
2/X
5%
12.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Metz v Nice — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Metz The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice The Market 45%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.06 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.58
1.32 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.50
Bad Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Weak
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 84%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2

Metz vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nice
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.62 xG 1.57
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
282 Passes 515
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR1
07.10.2023 Metz Metz 0-1 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
23.01.2022 Metz Metz 0-2 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
27.11.2021 Nice Nice 0-1 HT 0-1 Metz Metz FR1
21.02.2021 Nice Nice 1-2 HT 0-2 Metz Metz FR1
09.01.2021 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1

Metz 2-1 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metz
2 - 1
AWAY Nice
1.58 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
351 Passes 390
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Metz vs Nice
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Metz found just enough to beat Nice 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

Our pre-match lean was Nice at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Nice saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.58 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Metz against 1.00 for Nice.

Metz vs Nice Result & Final Score

Metz 2 - 1 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Metz vs Nice Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Metz 32%, draw 27%, Nice 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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