Nice 1-0 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 27 Jan 2024

Nice
1-0 HT 0-0
Metz
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Nice vs Metz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.89
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
19.1
X/1
22%
3.36
X/2
10%
12.55
X/X
9%
4.74
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
6%
11.5
2/X
10%
20.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Metz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.57/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.63
-31% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
21.6 Crosses 15.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Nice vs Metz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Metz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.47 xG 0.90
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
530 Passes 300
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Metz Metz 0-1 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
23.01.2022 Metz Metz 0-2 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
27.11.2021 Nice Nice 0-1 HT 0-1 Metz Metz FR1
21.02.2021 Nice Nice 1-2 HT 0-2 Metz Metz FR1
09.01.2021 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
07.12.2019 Nice Nice 4-1 HT 2-0 Metz Metz FR1

Nice 1-0 Metz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
1-0
AWAY Metz
2.21 xG 0.09
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
506 Passes 213
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 7
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nice vs Metz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice nicked a narrow win over Metz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Nice had 66% of the ball to Metz's 34%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 2.21 to 0.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nice's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nice and 0.83 for Metz.

What was the final score of Nice vs Metz?

Nice 1-0 Metz in the France - Ligue 1 on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Metz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nice 55%, draw 25%, Metz 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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