09/11/2025
·
04:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Malacateco vs Aurora Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
24%
Draw
26%
27%
Away Win
21%
47%
Under 2.5
51%
53%
Over 2.5
49%
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
49%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malacateco v Aurora — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Malacateco
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Aurora
EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
1.53/0.76
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.23/1.76
-10%
/
+15%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+34%
/
-24%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
350 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
301 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
4.0
Malacateco vs Aurora Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Malacateco
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Aurora
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
45%
Ball Possession
55%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
2
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Malacateco vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Malacateco squeezed past Aurora 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Malacateco vs Aurora?
Malacateco 1-0 Aurora in the Guatemala - National League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Aurora?
Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 50%, draw 24%, Aurora 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Malacateco)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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GUAT
More Guatemala - National League
9 Nov 2025