One Knoxville vs Naples Prediction — Model Probabilities
One Knoxville v Naples — Team-Based Signals
One Knoxville vs Naples Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
One Knoxville 1-0 Naples — Actual Match Statistics
One Knoxville found just enough to beat Naples 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (57%) came home.
Under the surface, One Knoxville had 56% of the ball to Naples's 44%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.69 to 0.73.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, One Knoxville had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for One Knoxville and 0.00 for Naples.
One Knoxville vs Naples Result & Final Score
One Knoxville 1-0 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
One Knoxville vs Naples Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 53%, draw 29%, Naples 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.