Western Springs 3-0 Wellington Phoenix Res — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.47
Draw
15%
4.49
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
44%
4-5
28%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Western Springs win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
64%
+4.1pp
15%
Draw
19%
-3.6pp
17%
Away Win
17%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Springs EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix Res EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.70/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.54
+20% / +146% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +49%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Springs
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix Res
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
27 Total Shots 14
13 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Western Springs 5-0 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix Res Wellington Phoenix Res YZLBÖL
POST-MATCH Western Springs vs Wellington Phoenix Res
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Springs ran out comfortable winners over Wellington Phoenix Res 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Western Springs as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Western Springs vs Wellington Phoenix Res?

Western Springs 3-0 Wellington Phoenix Res in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Springs vs Wellington Phoenix Res?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Western Springs 68%, draw 15%, Wellington Phoenix Res 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Springs), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Western Springs) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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