Western Springs 5-0 Wellington Phoenix Res — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒05:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
4.0
Over Pick
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
34%
4-5
31%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
68%
-17.2pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.9pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.4pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Springs EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix Res EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Springs
5-0
AWAY Wellington Phoenix Res
62% Ball Possession 38%
27 Total Shots 14
13 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Western Springs vs Wellington Phoenix Res
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Springs cruised past Wellington Phoenix Res 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Western Springs as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Western Springs had 62% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix Res's 38%, shots finished 27-14.

What was the final score of Western Springs vs Wellington Phoenix Res?

Western Springs 5-0 Wellington Phoenix Res in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Springs vs Wellington Phoenix Res?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Western Springs 51%, draw 23%, Wellington Phoenix Res 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Springs), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Western Springs) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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