Wellington Olympic 2-3 Napier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
3.46
Over
65%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
66%
1.32
No
34%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
35%
4-5
38%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
51%
-16.9pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.0pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
25%
+9.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
75%
-9.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.5pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Olympic EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Napier EU Bookmakers 30%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
3.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.69
+46% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Olympic
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Napier
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
30.09.2023 Wellington Olympic Wellington Olympic 7-1 HT 4-1 Napier Napier YZLBÖL
29.10.2022 Napier Napier 2-5 HT 1-2 Wellington Olympic Wellington Olympic YZLBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Olympic
2-3
AWAY Napier
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 11
8 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wellington Olympic vs Napier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napier nicked a narrow win over Wellington Olympic 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Napier made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Wellington Olympic had 47% of the ball to Napier's 53%, shots finished 15-23.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wellington Olympic had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals for Wellington Olympic and 1.50 for Napier.

What was the final score of Wellington Olympic vs Napier?

Wellington Olympic 2-3 Napier in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Olympic vs Napier?

Before kick-off our model rated an Napier win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Wellington Olympic 35%, draw 29%, Napier 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napier), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Napier) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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