Barwell 2-1 Kettering Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
39%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
39%
Away Win
49%
-9.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.0pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 53%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.26/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/0.90
-6% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kettering Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
14.08.2023 Barwell Barwell 3-2 HT 1-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
17.09.2022 Barwell Barwell 1-4 HT 1-1 Kettering Town Kettering Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
2-1
AWAY Kettering Town
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Kettering Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell edged past Kettering Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Barwell made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Barwell had 45% of the ball to Kettering Town's 55%, shots finished 19-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kettering Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Barwell and 2.67 for Kettering Town.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Kettering Town?

Barwell 2-1 Kettering Town in the England - Non League Premier on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Kettering Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Barwell 31%, draw 30%, Kettering Town 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kettering Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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