Kettering Town 2-1 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 39%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.21/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.45
-24% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kettering Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Barwell
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2023 Barwell Barwell 3-2 HT 1-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
17.09.2022 Barwell Barwell 1-4 HT 1-1 Kettering Town Kettering Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kettering Town
2-1
AWAY Barwell
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kettering Town vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town squeezed past Barwell 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Kettering Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kettering Town had 68% of the ball to Barwell's 32%, shots finished 22-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kettering Town and 2.00 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Kettering Town vs Barwell?

Kettering Town 2-1 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kettering Town vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kettering Town 35%, draw 28%, Barwell 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barwell), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barwell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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