AFC Sudbury 2-4 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
16%
3.64
Away
48%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.38
Over 2.5
64%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.5pp
16%
Draw
24%
-8.4pp
48%
Away Win
42%
+5.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.2pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.30/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.17
-14% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-1D-0L
AWAY St Ives Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Ives Town got the better of AFC Sudbury 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had St Ives Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs St Ives Town?

AFC Sudbury 2-4 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Ives Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 36%, draw 16%, St Ives Town 48%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Ives Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St Ives Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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