Alvechurch 1-2 Mickleover Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.15
Over 2.5
41%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
22%
+9.3pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-9.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
43%
+16.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
57%
-16.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Mickleover Sports EU Bookmakers 62%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.33/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.17
+14% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Mickleover Sports
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
15.08.2023 Mickleover Sports 4-2 HT 1-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
04.04.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-1 HT 0-0 Mickleover Sports İNGNLP
25.02.2023 Mickleover Sports 1-0 HT 0-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Mickleover Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mickleover Sports squeezed past Alvechurch 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mickleover Sports as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mickleover Sports led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alvechurch and 2.00 for Mickleover Sports.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Mickleover Sports?

Alvechurch 1-2 Mickleover Sports in the England - Non League Premier on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Mickleover Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mickleover Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 21%, draw 31%, Mickleover Sports 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mickleover Sports) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mickleover Sports) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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