West Ham United 2-1 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.96
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
14%
9.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.37
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.34
X/2
8%
8.62
X/X
11%
5.49
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
8%
6.13
2/X
8%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.88/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.51
+2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
22.8 Crosses 14.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 0.90
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
319 Passes 494
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.07.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 1-3 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton HAZ
06.04.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-2 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
17.12.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 3-0 HT 2-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
14.01.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
01.10.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 2-0 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
27.02.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
2-1
AWAY Wolverhampton
0.97 xG 1.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 0
348 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
40 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United squeezed past Wolverhampton 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had West Ham United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, West Ham United had 54% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 46%, shots finished 19-19, expected goals 0.97 to 1.47 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wolverhampton.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for West Ham United and 0.83 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Wolverhampton?

West Ham United 2-1 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 52%, draw 26%, Wolverhampton 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Ham United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (West Ham United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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