Wolverhampton 1-2 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

Wolverhampton
1-2 HT 1-0
West Ham United
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Wolverhampton vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.48
6+ Goals
14%
13.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 28% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.92
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
12%
5.78
X/2
15%
5.33
X/X
14%
4.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
29.5
2/2
15%
3.49
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolverhampton v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.39/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.41
+4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
21.2 Crosses 19.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Wolverhampton vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
2W-0D-4L
AWAY West Ham United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 1.09
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
493 Passes 317
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.12.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 3-0 HT 2-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
14.01.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
01.10.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 2-0 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
27.02.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
20.11.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
05.04.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-3 HT 1-3 West Ham United West Ham United İNP

Wolverhampton 1-2 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
1-2
AWAY West Ham United
1.47 xG 1.16
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
518 Passes 349
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United squeezed past Wolverhampton 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day West Ham United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 58% of the ball to West Ham United's 42%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.47 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.50 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs West Ham United?

Wolverhampton 1-2 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 37%, draw 26%, West Ham United 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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