Fulham 0-1 Newcastle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

Fulham
0-1 HT 0-0
Newcastle United
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Fulham vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.3
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
10%
5.58
X/2
8%
6.11
X/X
10%
5.31
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
19%
3.75
2/X
7%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fulham v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.71/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.43
+62% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
21.6 Crosses 13.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3

Fulham vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Newcastle United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.76 xG 2.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
370 Passes 410
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 3-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
15.01.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
01.10.2022 Fulham Fulham 1-4 HT 0-3 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
23.05.2021 Fulham Fulham 0-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
19.12.2020 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-1 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
12.05.2019 Fulham Fulham 0-4 HT 0-2 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP

Fulham 0-1 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
0-1
AWAY Newcastle United
1.26 xG 0.97
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 3
500 Passes 225
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
40 Box Touches 24
40 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Newcastle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United squeezed past Fulham 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fulham at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fulham had 67% of the ball to Newcastle United's 33%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.26 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fulham and 2.50 for Newcastle United.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Newcastle United?

Fulham 0-1 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Newcastle United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fulham 42%, draw 25%, Newcastle United 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fulham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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