Getafe 1-0 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 9 Dec 2024

Getafe
1-0 HT 1-0
Espanyol
📅09/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Getafe vs Espanyol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.38
Over 2.5
43%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.53
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
6.67
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.52
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.0
X/1
20%
3.77
X/2
10%
9.59
X/X
16%
3.35
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
9%
9.24
2/X
10%
18.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.2pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.4pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
69%
-11.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
31%
+11.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.2pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Getafe v Espanyol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.42/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.47
-5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
22.2 Crosses 16.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Getafe vs Espanyol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Espanyol
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 0.87
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 Passes 264
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.01.2024 Espanyol Espanyol 0-1 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İSPK
30.04.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
15.01.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-2 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
05.03.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 2-0 HT 2-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
31.10.2021 Getafe Getafe 2-1 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
16.06.2020 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1

Getafe 1-0 Espanyol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
1-0
AWAY Espanyol
0.39 xG 0.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
228 Passes 324
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe nicked a narrow win over Espanyol 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Getafe as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Getafe had 42% of the ball to Espanyol's 58%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.39 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Getafe and 1.00 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Espanyol?

Getafe 1-0 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Getafe 45%, draw 32%, Espanyol 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Getafe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Getafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →