Espanyol 0-1 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
4.64
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.52
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
11%
5.85
X/2
20%
4.83
X/X
15%
3.89
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.46
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 43%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.94/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.03/1.41
+150% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -87% / -74%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.2
29.0 Crosses 8.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Getafe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.86 xG 0.82
49% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
251 Passes 264
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
30.04.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
15.01.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-2 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
05.03.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 2-0 HT 2-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
31.10.2021 Getafe Getafe 2-1 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
16.06.2020 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
24.11.2019 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 1-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
0-1
AWAY Getafe
1.11 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
323 Passes 275
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe squeezed past Espanyol 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Getafe as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Espanyol had 53% of the ball to Getafe's 47%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.11 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Espanyol and 0.67 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Getafe?

Espanyol 0-1 Getafe in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 30%, draw 27%, Getafe 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Getafe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Getafe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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