Lugo vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lugo v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Lugo 1-3 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid beat Lugo 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lugo had 39% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 61%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.87 to 2.01.
What was the final score of Lugo vs Atletico Madrid?
Lugo 1-3 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lugo vs Atletico Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lugo 23%, draw 25%, Atletico Madrid 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.