Huesca 0-2 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.15
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.77
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.82
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
9%
5.87
X/2
19%
4.61
X/X
16%
3.53
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.52
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
31%
-4.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.5pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huesca EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.05/2.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.79
-34% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.0 Crosses 27.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huesca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 1.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 Passes 302
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2020 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
07.12.2019 Huesca Huesca 0-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS2
20.04.2019 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 0-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS1
14.09.2018 Huesca Huesca 0-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
24.02.2018 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 3-0 HT 3-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
01.10.2017 Huesca Huesca 2-1 HT 1-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huesca
0-2
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
0.56 xG 2.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
511 Passes 629
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Huesca vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Vallecano beat Huesca 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rayo Vallecano as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Huesca had 46% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 54%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 0.56 to 2.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Huesca and 1.50 for Rayo Vallecano.

What was the final score of Huesca vs Rayo Vallecano?

Huesca 0-2 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huesca vs Rayo Vallecano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Huesca 26%, draw 31%, Rayo Vallecano 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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