Elche 0-2 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 6 Jan 2024

Elche
0-2 HT 0-1
Girona
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Copa del Rey – 2025/2026

Elche vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.59
1/2
9%
24.3
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
8%
6.66
X/2
23%
4.83
X/X
11%
4.86
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
16%
2.93
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elche v Girona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.32/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+16% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Elche vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Girona
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.54 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
289 Passes 301
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.04.2023 Girona Girona 2-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS1
08.11.2022 Elche Elche 1-2 HT 1-1 Girona Girona İS1
23.08.2020 Girona Girona 0-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
20.08.2020 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS2
19.06.2020 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS2
12.10.2019 Girona Girona 0-2 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS2

Elche 0-2 Girona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
0-2
AWAY Girona
1.41 xG 1.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
357 Passes 458
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
38 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Elche vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Girona got the better of Elche 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Girona as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Elche had 46% of the ball to Girona's 54%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.41 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Elche and 0.67 for Girona.

What was the final score of Elche vs Girona?

Elche 0-2 Girona in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Elche 28%, draw 24%, Girona 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Girona) ✗ Over 2.5
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