Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.16
6+ Goals
10%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.42
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
15%
4.93
X/2
8%
5.85
X/X
14%
4.14
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
24%
4.34
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.69/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.32
-45% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
6.0 Crosses 6.7
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Betis
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.08 xG 1.57
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
198 Passes 469
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
18.01.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 4-0 HT 3-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
18.10.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
08.03.2021 Real Betis Real Betis 3-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
13.09.2020 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
16.07.2020 Real Betis Real Betis 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1-0
AWAY Real Betis
0.94 xG 0.32
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
223 Passes 419
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves squeezed past Real Betis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Betis at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 40% of the ball to Real Betis's 60%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 0.94 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.83 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Real Betis?

Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Real Betis in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 33%, draw 26%, Real Betis 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Betis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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