Arandina vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arandina v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Arandina 1-3 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid saw off Arandina 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Arandina had 22% of the ball to Real Madrid's 78%, shots finished 2-15, expected goals 0.08 to 2.34.
What was the final score of Arandina vs Real Madrid?
Arandina 1-3 Real Madrid in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arandina vs Real Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Arandina 19%, draw 20%, Real Madrid 61%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.