Cartagena vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cartagena v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals
Cartagena vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
2-1
HT 2-1
Sporting Gijon
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Cartagena
İS2
4-1
HT 1-1
Cartagena
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
Cartagena 1-0 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics
Cartagena squeezed past Sporting Gijon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting Gijon at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Cartagena had 44% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 56%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.15 to 0.85.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cartagena had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cartagena and 1.00 for Sporting Gijon.
What was the final score of Cartagena vs Sporting Gijon?
Cartagena 1-0 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Sporting Gijon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 21%, draw 33%, Sporting Gijon 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Gijon) went the other way.