Sporting Gijon vs Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Gijon v Cartagena — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Gijon vs Cartagena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
2-1
HT 2-1
Sporting Gijon
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Cartagena
İS2
4-1
HT 1-1
Cartagena
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Cartagena
İS2
Sporting Gijon 1-0 Cartagena — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Gijon nicked a narrow win over Cartagena 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Gijon as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sporting Gijon had 56% of the ball to Cartagena's 44%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cartagena led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sporting Gijon and 0.83 for Cartagena.
What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Cartagena?
Sporting Gijon 1-0 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Cartagena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 46%, draw 30%, Cartagena 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.