Levante 1-2 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 36% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.21
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.3
X/1
15%
3.67
X/2
11%
9.82
X/X
8%
4.39
2/1
11%
27.5
2/2
11%
8.62
2/X
7%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.36/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.31
-21% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.5 Crosses 20.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Amorebieta
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 1.44
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
339 Passes 215
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2023 Levante Levante 0-1 HT 0-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İSPK
11.08.2023 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-1 HT 0-1 Levante Levante İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
1-2
AWAY Amorebieta
1.84 xG 1.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
25 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
459 Passes 422
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levante vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta edged past Levante 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Levante at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levante had 52% of the ball to Amorebieta's 48%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 1.84 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Amorebieta led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Levante and 1.00 for Amorebieta.

What was the final score of Levante vs Amorebieta?

Levante 1-2 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Levante 47%, draw 25%, Amorebieta 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Levante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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