Valladolid 1-0 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.9
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.31
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.45
X/1
11%
3.67
X/2
6%
9.26
X/X
17%
4.18
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
10%
8.27
2/X
7%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.38/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.36
+14% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
24.0 Crosses 18.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Eldense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.56 xG 0.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
282 Passes 329
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2023 Eldense Eldense 0-1 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
1-0
AWAY Eldense
1.19 xG 0.47
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
407 Passes 193
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
32 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valladolid nicked a narrow win over Eldense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valladolid as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valladolid had 63% of the ball to Eldense's 37%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.19 to 0.47.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Eldense?

Valladolid 1-0 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 47%, draw 32%, Eldense 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valladolid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valladolid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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