Perugia 2-1 Campobasso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.19
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
5.01
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Campobasso EU Bookmakers 33%
+15% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.79/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.34
+49% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
2-1
AWAY Campobasso
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Campobasso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia squeezed past Campobasso 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Perugia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perugia had 53% of the ball to Campobasso's 47%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Campobasso?

Perugia 2-1 Campobasso in the Italy - Serie C on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Campobasso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Perugia 36%, draw 28%, Campobasso 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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