Lucchese 0-1 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.61
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.02/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.46
-8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Arezzo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 Lucchese Lucchese 1-1 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
02.12.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 1-1 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
03.10.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 3-4 HT 2-2 Lucchese Lucchese İTCK
15.11.2015 Arezzo Arezzo 1-2 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucchese
0-1
AWAY Arezzo
38% Ball Possession 62%
18 Total Shots 18
10 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo edged past Lucchese 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Arezzo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lucchese had 38% of the ball to Arezzo's 62%, shots finished 18-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lucchese had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lucchese and 1.50 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Arezzo?

Lucchese 0-1 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 31%, draw 30%, Arezzo 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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