Laos 1-4 Vietnam SR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFF Championship, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
14%
7.13
Away
73%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
59%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Vietnam SR win — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
+8.0pp
14%
Draw
10%
+3.9pp
72%
Away Win
84%
-12.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Laos EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Vietnam SR EU Bookmakers 90%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.20/3.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.14
-67% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% /
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 82%
1.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
2.9 Crosses 28.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Laos
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Vietnam SR
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.23 xG 3.22
25% Ball Possession 75%
4 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 6
157 Passes 635
63% Pass Accuracy 89%
3 Box Touches 35
4 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.12.2022 Laos Laos 0-6 HT 0-2 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR AFF
06.12.2021 Laos Laos 0-2 HT 0-1 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR AFF
08.11.2018 Laos Laos 0-3 HT 0-2 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR AFF
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Laos
1-4
AWAY Vietnam SR
0.93 xG 2.55
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 7
123 Passes 466
55% Pass Accuracy 81%
6 Box Touches 39
7 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Laos vs Vietnam SR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vietnam SR swept aside Laos 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vietnam SR as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Laos had 26% of the ball to Vietnam SR's 74%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.93 to 2.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vietnam SR led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Laos and 3.67 for Vietnam SR.

What was the final score of Laos vs Vietnam SR?

Laos 1-4 Vietnam SR in the AFF Championship on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Laos vs Vietnam SR?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vietnam SR win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Laos 13%, draw 14%, Vietnam SR 72%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vietnam SR), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vietnam SR) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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