Myanmar 0-1 Endonezya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFF Championship, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Endonezya win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.5pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Myanmar EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Endonezya EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
240 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Myanmar
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Endonezya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
25.03.2019 Myanmar Myanmar 0-2 HT 0-1 Endonezya Endonezya HAZ
10.10.2018 Endonezya Endonezya 3-0 HT 3-0 Myanmar Myanmar HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Myanmar
0-1
AWAY Endonezya
0.55 xG 0.86
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
203 Passes 305
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Myanmar vs Endonezya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Endonezya edged past Myanmar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Endonezya as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Myanmar had 43% of the ball to Endonezya's 57%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.55 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Endonezya led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Myanmar and 2.50 for Endonezya.

What was the final score of Myanmar vs Endonezya?

Myanmar 0-1 Endonezya in the AFF Championship on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Myanmar vs Endonezya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Endonezya win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Myanmar 23%, draw 22%, Endonezya 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Endonezya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Endonezya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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