Newells Old Boys 0-1 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.4
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.76
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
13%
6.82
X/2
13%
4.37
X/X
18%
3.74
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.09
2/X
5%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.21/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.10
+6% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.2 Crosses 18.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newells Old Boys
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Boca Juniors
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.58 xG 1.22
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
247 Passes 386
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-3 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
12.11.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
25.07.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-1 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
16.10.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 2-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
01.12.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
22.02.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newells Old Boys
0-1
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.37 xG 0.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
393 Passes 360
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors squeezed past Newells Old Boys 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Boca Juniors made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Newells Old Boys had 52% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 48%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.37 to 0.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Newells Old Boys.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Newells Old Boys and 1.17 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors?

Newells Old Boys 0-1 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 30%, draw 31%, Boca Juniors 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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