River Plate 4-0 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.3
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 30% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
25.0
X/1
18%
3.31
X/2
9%
21.3
X/X
9%
6.97
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
5%
18.65
2/X
8%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
73%
-17.4pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.5pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 12%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
2.01/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.67
+25% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
413 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
24.0 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rosario Central
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.60 xG 0.98
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
442 Passes 159
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
31 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2024 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
23.12.2023 River Plate River Plate 2-0 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJTC
10.12.2023 River Plate River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
12.11.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 1-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
24.07.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-3 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
17.10.2022 River Plate River Plate 1-2 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
4-0
AWAY Rosario Central
3.03 xG 0.08
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
456 Passes 223
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 3
22 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate ran out comfortable winners over Rosario Central 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, River Plate had 63% of the ball to Rosario Central's 37%, shots finished 22-2, expected goals 3.03 to 0.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for River Plate and 1.50 for Rosario Central.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Rosario Central?

River Plate 4-0 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split River Plate 55%, draw 26%, Rosario Central 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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