Al Riffa 2-1 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
1.76/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.16
-9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2024 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
17.12.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
07.03.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
14.02.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHKK
16.10.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
09.04.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
2-1
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa nicked a narrow win over Al Ahli Manama 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Riffa as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Riffa had 60% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 40%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Manama led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Riffa and 1.33 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs Al Ahli Manama?

Al Riffa 2-1 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 53%, draw 26%, Al Ahli Manama 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riffa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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