Al Riffa 1-2 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.67/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.28
-3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
07.03.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
14.02.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHKK
16.10.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
09.04.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
02.11.2021 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
1-2
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Manama edged past Al Riffa 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Riffa at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Riffa had 56% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 44%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Riffa and 1.33 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs Al Ahli Manama?

Al Riffa 1-2 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 56%, draw 25%, Al Ahli Manama 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Riffa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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