Muharraq 2-2 East Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
8%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 29% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.6pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.0pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY East Riffa EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.67/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.20
-2% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
1W-4D-1L
AWAY East Riffa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.12.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 2-2 HT 0-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
14.04.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 2-2 HT 1-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
20.10.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
08.04.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
11.09.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 2-3 HT 1-1 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
16.05.2021 East Riffa East Riffa 1-2 HT 0-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs East Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq and East Riffa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Muharraq at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Muharraq and 1.50 for East Riffa.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs East Riffa?

Muharraq 2-2 East Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs East Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 50%, draw 29%, East Riffa 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
8 May 2024
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