Al Shabab Manama 0-1 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
15%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 30% vs market 21.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.8pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-9.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 62%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.13/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.65
+13% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +49%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Khalidiya
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.12.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
16.10.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAHK
07.02.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
14.01.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-1 HT 0-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAHK
08.12.2022 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-1 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
0-1
AWAY Khalidiya
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya squeezed past Al Shabab Manama 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Khalidiya as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 39% of the ball to Khalidiya's 61%, shots finished 4-21.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Khalidiya led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 1.40 for Khalidiya.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Khalidiya?

Al Shabab Manama 0-1 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 19%, draw 31%, Khalidiya 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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