Zeljeznicar 4-1 GOSK Gabela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.75
No
57%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-17.6pp
21%
Draw
11%
+9.4pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.9pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeljeznicar EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 9%
-17% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.67/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.41
-31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -12%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
457 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeljeznicar
2W-0D-2L
AWAY GOSK Gabela
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2024 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 0-3 HT 0-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
27.04.2024 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 1-2 HT 1-1 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
16.12.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 1-0 HT 0-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
15.09.2023 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 2-3 HT 1-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeljeznicar
4-1
AWAY GOSK Gabela
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zeljeznicar vs GOSK Gabela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeljeznicar ran out comfortable winners over GOSK Gabela 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zeljeznicar as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Zeljeznicar had 68% of the ball to GOSK Gabela's 32%, shots finished 25-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Zeljeznicar and 1.25 for GOSK Gabela.

What was the final score of Zeljeznicar vs GOSK Gabela?

Zeljeznicar 4-1 GOSK Gabela in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeljeznicar vs GOSK Gabela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zeljeznicar win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Zeljeznicar 64%, draw 21%, GOSK Gabela 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zeljeznicar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zeljeznicar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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