Birmingham City U21 1-3 Wigan Athletic U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.68
Over 2.5
59%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.33
No
61%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-3.2pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
71%
-32.4pp
61%
BTTS No
29%
+32.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic U21 EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.07/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/3.00
-14% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham City U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Wigan Athletic U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
5 Corners 3
15.01.2024 Wigan Athletic U21 Wigan Athletic U21 0-5 HT 0-3 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 INGPDL
15.09.2023 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 1-3 HT 1-2 Wigan Athletic U21 Wigan Athletic U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Birmingham City U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic U21 beat Birmingham City U21 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Birmingham City U21 carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Birmingham City U21 and 1.50 for Wigan Athletic U21.

What was the final score of Birmingham City U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21?

Birmingham City U21 1-3 Wigan Athletic U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham City U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Birmingham City U21 61%, draw 20%, Wigan Athletic U21 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Birmingham City U21), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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