Swansea City U21 1-3 Watford U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
18%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
3.68
Over 2.5
73%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.32
No
29%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.5pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-6.6pp
27%
Under 2.5
24%
+3.7pp
73%
Over 2.5
76%
-3.7pp
71%
BTTS Yes
72%
-0.5pp
29%
BTTS No
28%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Watford U21 EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.06/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.77
-8% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Watford U21
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
02.04.2024 Watford U21 Watford U21 0-5 HT 0-2 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Swansea City U21 vs Watford U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Watford U21 got the better of Swansea City U21 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Swansea City U21 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (71%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Swansea City U21 vs Watford U21?

Swansea City U21 1-3 Watford U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City U21 vs Watford U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Swansea City U21 52%, draw 30%, Watford U21 18%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swansea City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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INGPDL More England - Professional Development League
9 Dec 2024
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