Amed SK 2-1 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
20.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 33% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.81
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
21%
4.35
X/2
13%
7.23
X/X
15%
4.34
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
12%
5.73
2/X
8%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 29%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.14/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.29
-100% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
18.8 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amed SK
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
14.01.2016 Amed SK Amed SK 1-0 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor TÜK
11.01.2016 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Amed SK Amed SK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
2-1
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
0.81 xG 1.61
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
383 Passes 210
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK squeezed past Şanlıurfaspor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Amed SK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amed SK had 60% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 40%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.81 to 1.61 — on chances, Şanlıurfaspor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Amed SK had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Amed SK and 0.00 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Amed SK 2-1 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 39%, draw 30%, Şanlıurfaspor 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amed SK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amed SK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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