Gaziantep FK 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 29% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.15
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
15%
6.25
X/2
12%
5.37
X/X
15%
4.77
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
16%
3.34
2/X
8%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.39/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.06
+21% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
18.2 Crosses 20.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.60 xG 1.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
333 Passes 317
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-1 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
06.11.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
20.05.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
26.12.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-1 HT 0-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
11.05.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 4-5 HT 0-3 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
20.01.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
1-0
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.86 xG 0.78
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
166 Passes 393
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 17
3 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK squeezed past Çaykur Rizespor 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Gaziantep FK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 34% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 66%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.86 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.83 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Gaziantep FK 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 39%, draw 28%, Çaykur Rizespor 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaziantep FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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