Exeter City vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Exeter City v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals
Exeter City vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
AFC Wimbledon
İN2
2-1
HT 1-1
Exeter City
İN2
3-2
HT 0-1
AFC Wimbledon
İN2
4-1
HT 1-0
Exeter City
İN2
2-1
HT 1-1
Exeter City
İN2
2-0
HT 2-0
AFC Wimbledon
İN2
Exeter City 1-0 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics
Exeter City nicked a narrow win over AFC Wimbledon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Exeter City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Exeter City had 64% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 36%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.72 to 0.64.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Exeter City and 2.00 for AFC Wimbledon.
What was the final score of Exeter City vs AFC Wimbledon?
Exeter City 1-0 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 1st Division on 09/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Exeter City vs AFC Wimbledon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 41%, draw 28%, AFC Wimbledon 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Exeter City), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.