Mansfield Town 0-1 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 9 Dec 2025

📅09/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
52%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.96
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.7
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
11%
8.15
X/2
18%
4.67
X/X
9%
5.26
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.53
2/X
7%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 54%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
0.82/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.11
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
20.7 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.93 xG 1.30
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
234 Passes 362
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2025 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
03.12.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-1 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN1
13.08.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İNLK
17.02.2021 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-3 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN2
03.11.2020 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
0-1
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.28 xG 1.47
25% Ball Possession 75%
6 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
139 Passes 646
63% Pass Accuracy 92%
9 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers squeezed past Mansfield Town 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 25% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 75%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.28 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.80 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Bolton Wanderers?

Mansfield Town 0-1 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 09/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 27%, draw 22%, Bolton Wanderers 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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