Bolton Wanderers vs Mansfield Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bolton Wanderers v Mansfield Town — Team-Based Signals
Bolton Wanderers vs Mansfield Town Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-0
Bolton Wanderers
İN2
1-1
HT 0-0
Mansfield Town
İN2
Bolton Wanderers 3-1 Mansfield Town — Actual Match Statistics
Bolton Wanderers beat Mansfield Town 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 65% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 35%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.83 to 0.73.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.33 for Mansfield Town.
What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Mansfield Town?
Bolton Wanderers 3-1 Mansfield Town in the England - 1st Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Mansfield Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 49%, draw 25%, Mansfield Town 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.