Leyton Orient 3-0 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 3 Dec 2024

Leyton Orient
3-0 HT 3-0
Bristol Rovers
📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Leyton Orient vs Bristol Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.19
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 31% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.49
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
14%
4.03
X/2
10%
8.33
X/X
13%
4.52
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
14%
6.83
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leyton Orient v Bristol Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.13/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.33
-40% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 68%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.5 Crosses 15.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Leyton Orient vs Bristol Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
320 Passes 258
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-1 HT 0-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
28.11.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
22.02.2022 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-2 HT 0-2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN2
18.09.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-3 HT 0-3 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
08.12.2020 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-2 HT 1-2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İNTK
04.12.2019 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNTK

Leyton Orient 3-0 Bristol Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
3-0
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.26 xG 0.42
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
374 Passes 216
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
38 Box Touches 2
22 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Bristol Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient swept aside Bristol Rovers 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leyton Orient as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 61% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 39%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.26 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.33 for Bristol Rovers.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Bristol Rovers?

Leyton Orient 3-0 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Bristol Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 44%, draw 26%, Bristol Rovers 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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