Leyton Orient 0-1 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

Leyton Orient
0-1 HT 0-1
Bristol Rovers
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Leyton Orient vs Bristol Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.55
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
17%
4.18
X/2
9%
7.91
X/X
14%
4.53
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
12%
6.21
2/X
7%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leyton Orient v Bristol Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.13/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.28
-41% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
288 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 65%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.4 Crosses 16.0
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Leyton Orient vs Bristol Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.89 xG 1.22
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
309 Passes 269
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
22.02.2022 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-2 HT 0-2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN2
18.09.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-3 HT 0-3 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
08.12.2020 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-2 HT 1-2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İNTK
04.12.2019 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNTK
28.12.2015 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2

Leyton Orient 0-1 Bristol Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
0-1
AWAY Bristol Rovers
0.75 xG 0.55
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
18 Corners 2
374 Passes 202
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
38 Box Touches 7
33 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Bristol Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol Rovers edged past Leyton Orient 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Leyton Orient at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 62% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 38%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 0.75 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.50 for Bristol Rovers.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Bristol Rovers?

Leyton Orient 0-1 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Bristol Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 43%, draw 30%, Bristol Rovers 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leyton Orient) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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