Wycombe Wanderers 2-4 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

Wycombe Wanderers
2-4 HT 1-1
Barnsley
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Wycombe Wanderers vs Barnsley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.38
6+ Goals
12%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.39
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
14%
5.29
X/2
9%
5.96
X/X
9%
4.72
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
21%
4.0
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wycombe Wanderers v Barnsley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +19%
1.48/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.29
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
250 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 70%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
20.1 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Wycombe Wanderers vs Barnsley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Barnsley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 1.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
167 Passes 216
52% Pass Accuracy 59%
19 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 1-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
18.03.2023 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
20.08.2022 Barnsley Barnsley 0-3 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
17.03.2021 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
09.12.2020 Barnsley Barnsley 2-1 HT 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNCL
16.02.2019 Barnsley Barnsley 2-1 HT 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1

Wycombe Wanderers 2-4 Barnsley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
2-4
AWAY Barnsley
1.39 xG 0.95
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
152 Passes 451
55% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley beat Wycombe Wanderers 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Barnsley found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 33% of the ball to Barnsley's 67%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.39 to 0.95 — on chances, Wycombe Wanderers could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnsley led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 1.50 for Barnsley.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Barnsley?

Wycombe Wanderers 2-4 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 38%, draw 25%, Barnsley 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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