Northampton Town 1-1 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

Northampton Town
1-1 HT 0-1
Charlton Athletic
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Northampton Town vs Charlton Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
11%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.6
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
10%
6.38
X/2
11%
4.89
X/X
10%
4.41
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
20%
3.16
2/X
9%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Northampton Town v Charlton Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.02/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.29
+11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.8 Crosses 18.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Northampton Town vs Charlton Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.74 xG 1.24
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
191 Passes 262
62% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.01.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-3 HT 2-2 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
09.03.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
24.10.2020 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
30.03.2018 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-4 HT 0-2 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
19.08.2017 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 4-1 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
04.03.2017 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1

Northampton Town 1-1 Charlton Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
1-1
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.94 xG 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
293 Passes 218
67% Pass Accuracy 59%
12 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Northampton Town vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northampton Town and Charlton Athletic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Charlton Athletic at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Northampton Town had 54% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 46%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.94 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Northampton Town and 2.50 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Northampton Town 1-1 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 32%, draw 27%, Charlton Athletic 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Charlton Athletic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
2 Mar 2024
18:00 Leyton Orient vs Bristol Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Cheltenham Town vs Burton Albion Analysis →
18:00 Fleetwood Town vs Wigan Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Wycombe Wanderers vs Barnsley Analysis →
18:00 Lincoln City vs Stevenage Analysis →
18:00 Carlisle United vs Reading Analysis →