Fleetwood Town 4-2 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.34
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.11
X/2
17%
6.13
X/X
10%
4.38
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
14%
4.31
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -4%
1.32/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.42
-8% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.0 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.09 xG 1.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
273 Passes 346
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 3-0 HT 2-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
10.10.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 3-3 HT 0-2 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İNTK
09.08.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNLK
01.03.2022 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
02.11.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-3 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
23.01.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
4-2
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.00 xG 0.56
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
355 Passes 492
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town saw off Wigan Athletic 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Fleetwood Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 42% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 58%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.00 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fleetwood Town and 1.83 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Wigan Athletic?

Fleetwood Town 4-2 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 36%, draw 27%, Wigan Athletic 37%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wigan Athletic), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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