Reading 3-0 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 30% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
12%
4.24
X/2
6%
8.68
X/X
11%
5.41
2/1
9%
22.55
2/2
14%
6.34
2/X
9%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.23/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.06
+25% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 72%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
15.5 Crosses 18.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reading
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.92 xG 1.16
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
408 Passes 208
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Reading Reading 4-0 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
04.09.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-0 HT 0-0 Reading Reading İN1
02.03.2002 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-2 HT 2-0 Reading Reading İN1
18.09.2001 Reading Reading 1-0 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
07.04.2001 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 0-1 Reading Reading İN1
02.12.2000 Reading Reading 3-0 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading
3-0
AWAY Cambridge United
1.50 xG 1.23
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
503 Passes 193
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reading vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading ran out comfortable winners over Cambridge United 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Reading as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Reading had 67% of the ball to Cambridge United's 33%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.50 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reading had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Reading and 0.67 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Reading vs Cambridge United?

Reading 3-0 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reading win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Reading 46%, draw 29%, Cambridge United 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reading), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Reading) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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